Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000393 0.000442 0.000495 0.000556 0.000626 0.000703 0.000795
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000308 0.000378 0.000461 0.000568 0.000701 0.000865 0.001080
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000243 0.000317 0.000412 0.000543 0.000719 0.000952 0.001284
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000209 0.000287 0.000392 0.000546 0.000767 0.001077 0.001551
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000191 0.000274 0.000391 0.000571 0.000844 0.001251 0.001912
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000166 0.000248 0.000367 0.000559 0.000864 0.001339 0.002156
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000143 0.000220 0.000337 0.000531 0.000853 0.001378 0.002323
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000132 0.000208 0.000329 0.000538 0.000898 0.001510 0.002664
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000125 0.000205 0.000334 0.000564 0.000977 0.001710 0.003158
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000191 0.000319 0.000556 0.000995 0.001802 0.003465
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000182 0.000312 0.000559 0.001033 0.001937 0.003877
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000171 0.000301 0.000553 0.001053 0.002039 0.004236
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000165 0.000297 0.000564 0.001108 0.002221 0.004809
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000158 0.000292 0.000569 0.001154 0.002395 0.005401
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000144 0.000272 0.000543 0.001131 0.002417 0.005646
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000138 0.000266 0.000546 0.001170 0.002583 0.006271
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000137 0.000271 0.000571 0.001263 0.002884 0.007299
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000129 0.000260 0.000559 0.001268 0.002980 0.007808
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000118 0.000242 0.000531 0.001233 0.002972 0.008029
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000115 0.000240 0.000538 0.001282 0.003183 0.008920
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000115 0.000245 0.000564 0.001383 0.003546 0.010342
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000109 0.000237 0.000556 0.001394 0.003670 0.011059
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000106 0.000233 0.000559 0.001437 0.003890 0.012132